Doctoral Research Concept · Competitive Sailing

Make the Winning Boat

Can a sailing system learn how to win?

A doctoral research concept combining 60,000+ tracked races, real-time sensing, computer vision and artificial intelligence to understand the environment, improve decisions, optimize the boat and turn every race into the next training input.

60,000+
Tracked races
6
Research modules
1
Closed learning loop
Explore the Research

The research system

Six questions. One learning loop.

Each module creates evidence for the next. The final module turns measured gains and losses into the next training objective—and new data for the entire system.

  1. 01
    Know the venue

    What normally happens here?

  2. 02
    Understand now

    What is happening right now?

  3. 03
    Make the right decision

    Where should we go?

  4. 04
    Make the boat faster

    How do we maximise performance?

  5. 05
    Execute better

    How do we minimise losses?

  6. 06
    Learn

    What should we improve next?

  7. Learn returns evidence to modules 01–05. Every race becomes input for the next performance improvement cycle.

Research gap

Sailing generates data. It rarely learns from it.

01

Fragmented

Tracking, wind, sensors, video and coaching are typically analysed independently.

02

Historical knowledge is underused

Thousands of previous races contain environmental and tactical patterns that are rarely systematically reused.

03

No closed learning loop

Most systems explain what happened. Few determine what should change and validate whether that change actually improves performance.

Research framework

Six work packages connect knowledge to performance.

WP01

Know the Venue

What normally happens here?

Analyse a potential corpus of 60,000+ historical tracked races together with weather, geography and environmental context.

Data
Race Tracks · Weather · Wind · Geography · Results
Methods
Trajectory Analysis · Spatial Modelling · Pattern Recognition
Output
Venue Intelligence Model
Validation
Prediction of venue-specific patterns on unseen races.
Historical races reveal recurring spatial patterns.Illustrative tracks, wind direction and high-density course areas.

WP02

Understand Now

What is happening right now?

Estimate the live environmental and boat state from noisy measurements collected on moving platforms.

Data
Wind · GNSS · IMU · Waves · Current · Boat State
Methods
Sensor Fusion · State Estimation · Signal Processing
Output
Live Environmental Model
Validation
Comparison with high-quality reference measurements.
Illustrative example
True wind
12.4 kn / 218°
GNSS
7.2 kn · COG 031°
Heel
17.2°
Pitch
2.8°
Wave
0.6 m · 4.2 s
Current
0.4 kn / 164°
Sensor fusionLive environmental state

WP03

Make the Right Decision

Who is actually winning—and what should happen next?

Combine historical races, the current environment and fleet geometry to estimate tactical advantage rather than geometric position alone.

Data
Race Tracks · Fleet Geometry · Environment · Opponent Behaviour
Methods
Trajectory Prediction · Machine Learning · Sequence Models · AI / LLM Reasoning Layer
Output
Tactical Intelligence Model
Validation
Prediction of future relative fleet advantage.
Illustrative examplePosition ≠ Race Advantage
Boat A Closest · current rank 1Boat C Expected advantage +18 m

WP04

Make the Boat Faster

Which configuration produces maximum performance?

Connect computer-vision sail geometry, structural loads, crew position and boat state with measured speed and VMG.

Data
Sail Shape · Loads · Heel · Speed · VMG · Crew Position · Wind
Methods
Computer Vision · Multimodal Learning · Performance Modelling
Output
Boat Performance & Trim Model
Validation
Measurable improvement in boatspeed or VMG.
Illustrative exampleComputer-vision geometry with synchronized loads and boat state.
Draft
42%
Depth
11.8%
Twist
14.2°
Forestay
1.84 kN
Shroud
2.31 kN
Mainsheet
0.71 kN
Heel
17.4°
Speed / VMG
7.1 / 5.6 kn
Sail shape+Loads+Boat state+Environment
Performance model

Illustrative recommendation Target heel 16–18° · Reduce forestay sag

WP05

Execute Better

Where do we lose metres?

Automatically detect and benchmark tacks, gybes, starts, acceleration, mark roundings, hoists and drops.

Data
GNSS · IMU · Video · Rudder · Crew Movement
Methods
Event Detection · Time-Series Analysis · Benchmarking
Output
Boat Handling Model
Validation
Reduction of time or distance loss during manoeuvres.
Illustrative exampleTack performance · speed over time
TARGET SPEEDTURNMINIMUMRECOVERYkn
Average loss
7.2 m
Best
4.1 m
Recovery
8.4 s
Recoverable
3.1 m

WP06

Learn

What should we train next?

Combine venue, environment, tactics, boat performance and handling into a measurable coaching cycle.

Input
Venue · Environment · Tactics · Boat · Handling
Methods
Explainable AI · Human–AI Interaction · Longitudinal Evaluation
Output
Integrated AI Coaching System
Validation
Measurable performance improvement over repeated training cycles.
Illustrative example
VenueEnvironmentTacticsBoatHandlingAI coaching
  • DiagnosisTack loss exceeds benchmark
  • PriorityTacking under 10–14 kn
  • TargetReduce average below 5.0 m
TrainingNew dataRe-evaluation↺

Historical evidence base

60,000+ races to learn from.

The historical corpus can reveal recurring venue, fleet and tactical patterns at a scale that isolated training sessions cannot.

Available datasets will be evaluated for consistency, sampling rate, class differences, environmental context and suitability before model development.
60,000+ races
Race tracks
Positions
Starts
Decision situations
Upwind legs
Tactical patterns
Mark roundings
Boat handling
Venues
Local patterns
Training data for multiple research questions

Shared architecture

One multimodal research foundation.

Every work package uses a synchronized representation of the race rather than another isolated data silo.

Input layer
TracksWeatherSensorsVideoFleet
Data layerSynchronized Race StateTime · Position · Environment · Boat · Fleet
Model layer
Venue intelligenceEnvironmental stateTactical intelligencePerformanceHandling
Application layerIntegrated coaching

Scientific novelty

MultimodalConnect heterogeneous evidence in one race state.
LongitudinalLearn across races, venues and training cycles.
Closed-loopTurn diagnosis into intervention and measured change.

Evaluation

How do we know it works?

Model accuracy matters, but the final standard is real sailing performance.

Work packagePrimary evaluation
VenuePrediction on unseen races
EnvironmentAccuracy against reference sensors
TacticsFuture fleet-advantage prediction
Boat performanceSpeed or VMG improvement
Boat handlingReduced time or distance loss
CoachingImprovement over repeated training cycles

The final metric is not AI accuracy. It is better sailing performance.

Publication strategy

Four-year research programme.

  1. Year 1Venue intelligence

    Data foundation · Paper 1

  2. Year 2Environment & tactics

    Field studies · Papers 2–3

  3. Year 3Boat performance & handling

    Experiments · Papers 4–5

  4. Year 4Integrated coaching

    Validation · Paper 6

Existing foundation

Ambitious—but not starting from zero.

DataDrivenSailing and related prototype work provide practical experience with heterogeneous sailing data, synchronization, onboard video, field constraints and coaching workflows. They are a technical starting point, not claimed research results.

Read the DDS documentation
Existing work
Sailing-data pipelines, synchronized media and applied analysis prototypes
Technical background
Data science, engineering problem solving and competitive sailing
Potential collaboration
Researchers, sailing teams, federations, coaches and technology providers

Research collaboration

Let's research how to win.

The project is designed as a modular doctoral research programme with independent scientific contributions and opportunities for collaboration across sailing, engineering, data science and artificial intelligence.

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